Quantinuum said this on 2024-09-10. The Ledger scores it on 2030-12-31, against criteria fixed on 2026-08-27.
Tracking
Quantinuum's roadmap unveils its fifth-generation quantum computer, Apollo, which will be a fully fault-tolerant and universal quantum computer, capable of executing circuits with millions of gates, delivering scientific advantage and enabling a commercial tipping point.
press release, Quantinuum, 2024-09-10
Resolves VERIFIED if Quantinuum has, by 31 Dec 2030, shipped or publicly operated a system matching the Apollo specification (universal, fully fault-tolerant, circuits of millions of gates) -- confirmed by a Quantinuum announcement plus independent technical reporting. Note the press release's own text separately targets Apollo itself for 2029, one year ahead of the “by 2030” headline claim; both dates are logged so either can be checked against what actually ships. PARTIALLY_VERIFIED if an earlier-generation system (Helios, Sol) ships on schedule but Apollo itself is delayed past 2030. NOT_VERIFIED otherwise.
Sources that will settle it: https://www.quantinuum.com/press-releases, https://www.quantinuum.com/blog, https://thequantuminsider.com.
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