{
  "schema": 1,
  "generated": "2026-09-23",
  "entries": [
    {
      "slug": "atom-computing-microsoft-24-logical-qubits-2025",
      "claimant": "atom-computing",
      "headline": "Atom Computing and Microsoft announced a commercial quantum machine with 24 entangled logical qubits, available for delivery in 2025.",
      "domain": "quantum",
      "kind": "commercial",
      "status": "resolved",
      "verdict": "not_verified",
      "resolves_by": "2025-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "y",
      "source_date": "2024-11-19"
    },
    {
      "slug": "dwave-magnetic-simulation-supremacy-2025",
      "claimant": "dwave",
      "headline": "D-Wave says its Advantage2 annealing quantum computer demonstrated quantum computational supremacy on a real-world magnetic-materials simulation problem, beating classical supercomputers.",
      "domain": "quantum",
      "kind": "scientific",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2026-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "y",
      "source_date": "2025-03-12"
    },
    {
      "slug": "eo14412-pqc-key-establishment-2030",
      "claimant": "eo14412",
      "headline": "Executive Order 14412 requires U.S. federal high-value assets to migrate to post-quantum key establishment by 31 December 2030, and to post-quantum digital signatures by 31 December 2031.",
      "domain": "crypto",
      "kind": "security",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2030-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "y",
      "source_date": "2026-06-22"
    },
    {
      "slug": "eu-pqc-national-strategies-2026",
      "claimant": "eu-nis-cooperation-group",
      "headline": "The EU's NIS Cooperation Group set the end of 2026 for every Member State to have started a national post-quantum transition.",
      "domain": "crypto",
      "kind": "security",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2026-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "g",
      "source_date": "2025-06-23"
    },
    {
      "slug": "fujitsu-riken-1000-qubit-2026",
      "claimant": "fujitsu-riken",
      "headline": "Fujitsu and RIKEN scheduled the launch of a 1,000-qubit superconducting quantum computer for 2026.",
      "domain": "quantum",
      "kind": "milestone",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2026-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "g",
      "source_date": "2025-04-22"
    },
    {
      "slug": "google-pqc-migration-2029",
      "claimant": "google",
      "headline": "Google has set 2029 as its internal deadline to complete post-quantum cryptography migration across its infrastructure.",
      "domain": "crypto",
      "kind": "security",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2029-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "y",
      "source_date": "2026-03-25"
    },
    {
      "slug": "huang-useful-quantum-15-30-years",
      "claimant": "nvidia",
      "headline": "NVIDIA's Jensen Huang said truly useful quantum computers are 15 to 30 years away, with 20 years as the figure “a whole bunch of us would believe.”",
      "domain": "quantum",
      "kind": "timeline",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2040-01-06",
      "evidence_tier": "y",
      "source_date": "2025-01-07"
    },
    {
      "slug": "ibm-kookaburra-2026",
      "claimant": "ibm",
      "headline": "IBM will deliver Kookaburra, its first modular processor designed to store and process encoded information, in 2026.",
      "domain": "quantum",
      "kind": "milestone",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2026-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "y",
      "source_date": "2025-06-10"
    },
    {
      "slug": "ibm-starling-2029",
      "claimant": "ibm",
      "headline": "IBM will deliver a large-scale, fault-tolerant quantum computer (“Starling”) by 2029, running 100 million quantum operations on 200 logical qubits.",
      "domain": "quantum",
      "kind": "milestone",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2029-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "y",
      "source_date": "2025-06-10"
    },
    {
      "slug": "ibm-verified-quantum-advantage-2026",
      "claimant": "ibm",
      "headline": "IBM expects the first cases of verified quantum advantage to be confirmed by the wider community by the end of 2026.",
      "domain": "quantum",
      "kind": "scientific",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2026-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "y",
      "source_date": "2025-11-12"
    },
    {
      "slug": "ionq-10000-qubits-single-chip-2027",
      "claimant": "ionq",
      "headline": "IonQ's roadmap puts 10,000 physical qubits on a single chip in 2027.",
      "domain": "quantum",
      "kind": "milestone",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2027-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "g",
      "source_date": "2025-06-13"
    },
    {
      "slug": "ionq-five-nines-2025",
      "claimant": "ionq",
      "headline": "IonQ targeted 99.999% (“five nines”) logical two-qubit gate fidelity by the end of 2025.",
      "domain": "quantum",
      "kind": "performance",
      "status": "resolved",
      "verdict": "not_verified",
      "resolves_by": "2025-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "y",
      "source_date": "2024-07-22"
    },
    {
      "slug": "microsoft-topological-years-not-decades",
      "claimant": "microsoft",
      "headline": "Microsoft says its Majorana 1 / Topological Core approach puts industrial-scale, meaningful quantum computing “years, not decades” away.",
      "domain": "quantum",
      "kind": "timeline",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2035-02-19",
      "evidence_tier": "y",
      "source_date": "2025-02-19"
    },
    {
      "slug": "nist-hqc-final-standard-2027",
      "claimant": "nist",
      "headline": "NIST expects to finalise a standard for HQC, its backup post-quantum key-exchange algorithm, in 2027.",
      "domain": "crypto",
      "kind": "security",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2027-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "g",
      "source_date": "2025-03-11"
    },
    {
      "slug": "pasqal-10000-qubits-2026",
      "claimant": "pasqal",
      "headline": "Pasqal's roadmap pointed to 10,000 qubits in 2026.",
      "domain": "quantum",
      "kind": "milestone",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2026-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "g",
      "source_date": "2024-03-12"
    },
    {
      "slug": "psiquantum-brisbane-operational-2027",
      "claimant": "psiquantum",
      "headline": "PsiQuantum planned to have its utility-scale quantum computing site near Brisbane operational by the end of 2027.",
      "domain": "quantum",
      "kind": "milestone",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2027-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "g",
      "source_date": "2024-04-29"
    },
    {
      "slug": "quantinuum-apollo-2030",
      "claimant": "quantinuum",
      "headline": "Quantinuum will deliver universal, fully fault-tolerant quantum computing (system “Apollo”) by 2030.",
      "domain": "quantum",
      "kind": "milestone",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2030-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "y",
      "source_date": "2024-09-10"
    },
    {
      "slug": "quera-100-logical-qubits-2026",
      "claimant": "quera",
      "headline": "QuEra will introduce a quantum computer with 100 logical qubits and over 10,000 physical qubits in 2026.",
      "domain": "quantum",
      "kind": "milestone",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2026-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "y",
      "source_date": "2024-01-09"
    },
    {
      "slug": "qunorth-magne-first-tasks-2026",
      "claimant": "qunorth",
      "headline": "QuNorth said Magne, the logical-qubit machine it is buying from Microsoft and Atom Computing, would be ready for its first tasks by the new year 2026/27.",
      "domain": "quantum",
      "kind": "commercial",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2026-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "g",
      "source_date": "2025-07-17"
    },
    {
      "slug": "rigetti-roadmap-2025-2027",
      "claimant": "rigetti",
      "headline": "Rigetti's own roadmap commits to a 100+ qubit chiplet system in 2025, 150+ qubits in 2026, and 1,000+ qubits in 2027.",
      "domain": "quantum",
      "kind": "milestone",
      "status": "tracking",
      "verdict": null,
      "resolves_by": "2027-12-31",
      "evidence_tier": "y",
      "source_date": "2025-11-11"
    }
  ]
}